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How to Compare Your Portfolio's Returns to the S&P 500

By Daniel Hartley · August 23, 2026 · 9 min read

MarketWatch reported on August 23 that President Trump disclosed roughly 1,000 stock trades in June, with the accounts said to replicate index model portfolios rather than reflect active stock-picking. That is a useful entry point into how index-replicating model portfolios actually work, why many investors prefer tracking a benchmark to picking winners, and exactly how to measure your own returns against the S&P 500.

What is an index model portfolio?

An index model portfolio is a pre-built basket of holdings designed to match the composition and returns of a market benchmark like the S&P 500. Instead of choosing individual stocks by conviction, the account holds positions in roughly the same proportions as the index it tracks.

When MarketWatch described President Trump's 1,000 disclosed trades in June as replicating index model portfolios, that volume is the tell. Rebalancing a broad index basket across many accounts naturally generates hundreds of small trades, which looks nothing like a stock-picker placing a handful of high-conviction bets.

Model portfolios typically fall into a few buckets:

Why so many trades appear on a disclosure

The trade count is high because rebalancing touches many positions at once. When an advisor shifts an index model, or when cash flows in and out, the system may buy and sell dozens of names in a single session to keep weights aligned. A disclosure that lists 1,000 transactions can still represent a fundamentally passive, benchmark-hugging strategy.

Why do investors track a benchmark instead of picking stocks?

Investors track a benchmark because the majority of active managers fail to beat it over time, and matching the index is cheaper and simpler. This is the core argument for passive investing, and it is backed by decades of performance data.

The practical advantages are straightforward:

None of this makes index tracking automatic. You still need to measure whether your real-world returns actually match the benchmark, because fees, cash drag, and timing all pull results away from the index.

How do you compare your portfolio's return to the S&P 500?

To compare your portfolio to the S&P 500, calculate your total return over a fixed period, then compare it to the index's total return over the exact same dates. The key word is total, because it includes reinvested dividends, not just price change.

Use time-weighted return, not just profit

Your raw profit and loss can mislead you when you add or withdraw cash. Time-weighted return (TWR) strips out the effect of deposits and withdrawals so you are measuring the performance of your holdings, not the timing of your contributions.

  1. Break your track record into sub-periods between each cash flow.
  2. Calculate the return for each sub-period.
  3. Chain them together by multiplying the growth factors.

For a fair fight, compare against the S&P 500 Total Return index, not the price-only version. Over the long run, reinvested dividends have added roughly 1.5% to 2% per year, so ignoring them understates the benchmark.

Match the exact time window

Compare identical start and end dates. Measuring your portfolio from January 1 against an index figure that runs to a different month produces a meaningless gap. PortfolioTrackr handles this by charting your total return next to the S&P 500 over the same window, so the comparison is apples to apples.

What is tracking error and why does it matter?

Tracking error is the difference between your portfolio's return and the benchmark's return, and it tells you how closely you are actually following the index. A pure S&P 500 index fund aims for near-zero tracking error, while a portfolio full of individual picks can drift far from the benchmark.

Tracking error shows up for several reasons:

A little tracking error is normal. A large and persistent gap means your portfolio is behaving very differently from the benchmark you claim to follow, and that is worth investigating before you assume you are a passive investor.

Index model portfolio versus individual stock-picking

The choice between an index model and active stock-picking comes down to cost, effort, and how much benchmark deviation you can tolerate. The table below lays out the trade-offs on a like-for-like basis.

FactorIndex model portfolioIndividual stock-picking
Typical annual costUnder 0.10%Trading costs plus your time
Tracking error vs S&P 500Near zeroOften large
DiversificationBroad by designDepends on discipline
Effort to maintainLow, periodic rebalancingHigh, ongoing research

Many investors run a blend. They hold an S&P 500 core for stability, then add a smaller sleeve of individual names, crypto, or regional stocks for upside. The discipline is knowing which part is doing what, and measuring each against the right yardstick.

How PortfolioTrackr measures your returns against a benchmark

PortfolioTrackr calculates your total return in real time and plots it directly against the S&P 500, so you can see whether you are beating, matching, or trailing the index without exporting anything to a spreadsheet. It reports where you stand, it does not tell you what to do.

You do not need to connect a broker to get this. Every plan supports manual entry, voice, text, CSV imports, and even broker screenshots, so your data can come in however suits you. Connecting an account is optional, and PortfolioTrackr does support direct links to Alpaca, Bybit, and Interactive Brokers plus 35 more brokers through the SnapTrade bridge if you want automatic syncing.

Because it tracks across 95 stock exchanges and 67 currencies, the benchmark comparison still works when your holdings span US stocks, UAE names on the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADX) and Dubai Financial Market (DFM), and crypto in one view.

Where a tracker beats a broker app

Broker apps only show the accounts held at that broker, which breaks benchmark comparison the moment your money is spread across several platforms. A dedicated tracker consolidates everything first, then measures the whole picture against the S&P 500. We break down the differences in our real-data comparison of six portfolio trackers, and if you currently use a sheet, our take on portfolio tracker versus spreadsheet covers why manual TWR math tends to break down.

What alerts can and cannot do for benchmark tracking

Alerts help you watch your own levels, but they do not replace performance measurement. PortfolioTrackr monitors prices continuously through market hours and fires an alert as soon as your chosen level is reached, then reports the status against your own targets.

The status language stays factual:

That is deliberately different from advice. The tracker never tells you to buy or sell, it simply reports where price sits relative to the levels you chose, leaving the decision to you.

The bottom line

The reported 1,000 trades in a June disclosure look dramatic, but replicating an index model portfolio is one of the calmest strategies in investing, and the trade count is just the machinery of rebalancing. The real question for any investor is whether your actual returns keep pace with the benchmark you say you follow.

Measure your total return over matched dates against the S&P 500 Total Return index, watch your tracking error, and decide honestly whether you are a passive investor or an active one. PortfolioTrackr makes that comparison visible in one screen, whether you connect a broker or type your holdings in by hand.

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Frequently asked questions

How do I compare my portfolio return to the S&P 500?

Calculate your total return, including reinvested dividends, over a fixed period, then compare it to the S&P 500 Total Return index over the exact same dates. Use time-weighted return to remove the distortion from deposits and withdrawals. PortfolioTrackr charts this comparison automatically so both series share the same time window.

What is an index model portfolio in simple terms?

An index model portfolio is a basket of holdings built to match a benchmark like the S&P 500, either by holding every constituent, a representative sample, or a single index ETF. It aims to mirror the index rather than beat it, which is why rebalancing can generate many small trades.

Why does my portfolio underperform the S&P 500 even when it holds an index fund?

The most common causes are tracking error from fees, cash drag when uninvested money sits idle, and dividend reinvestment timing. Even a low-cost S&P 500 fund lags slightly after its expense ratio. Comparing against the price-only index instead of the total return version also creates a misleading gap.

Should I pick stocks or just track the S&P 500?

Most active managers fail to beat the S&P 500 over time, so tracking the benchmark is cheaper, simpler, and lower risk for many investors. Stock-picking can add upside but usually creates larger tracking error and demands ongoing research. Many people blend an index core with a smaller sleeve of individual picks.

Can PortfolioTrackr show my returns against a benchmark without connecting a broker?

Yes. PortfolioTrackr supports manual entry, voice, text, CSV imports, and broker screenshots on every plan, so you can benchmark against the S&P 500 without linking an account. Connecting a broker is optional and available through direct integrations with Alpaca, Bybit, and Interactive Brokers, plus 35 more via the SnapTrade bridge.

Daniel Hartley
Daniel Hartley writes about the fundamentals of portfolio tracking at PortfolioTrackr: profit and loss, position sizing, and turning a messy multi-broker setup into one clear picture for everyday investors.